Skip to main content
cancel
Showing results for 
Search instead for 
Did you mean: 

Learn from the best! Meet the four finalists headed to the FINALS of the Power BI Dataviz World Championships! Register now

Reply
powerbiuser223
Regular Visitor

Deriving forecast accuracy and bias from raw data by SKU level

Hi everyone, 

 

I am looking for help to get forecast accuracy from the raw data below and I need it to be dynamic/easy to refresh when new data comes in every month. 

Here are some points to note:

- Forecast accuracy = 1 - (sum of ABS error / sum of sales)

- Bias = (sum of forecast / sum of sales) - 1

- New data will be added in the following month (i.e. July 2023 submission which consist of forecast for month of July onwards to Dec 2023 for the same SKU)

- I want to look at different period of forecast accuracy:

Lag 1 = June vs May

Lag 2 = June vs April

Lag 3 = June vs March

Hence, when July 2023 submission comes in, I need the forecast accuracy to be automatically changed to:

Lag 1 = July vs June

Lag 2 = July vs May

Lag 3= July vs April

- In the dashboard, I do want to see forecast accuracy & bias by SKU, by country and all other categories the SKU have (which is not present in this simplified table)

 

Should I do the calculations with DAX in measures or Powerquery? And how should I go about doing it. I am not sure where to begin. 

 

Note: this is incomplete data. There is more than 1 SKU but the same logic applies.

powerbiuser223_0-1689155035058.png

 

2 REPLIES 2
lbendlin
Super User
Super User

Please provide sample data (with sensitive information removed) that covers your issue or question completely, in a usable format (not as a screenshot).
https://community.fabric.microsoft.com/t5/Community-Blog/How-to-provide-sample-data-in-the-Power-BI-...
Please show the expected outcome based on the sample data you provided.

https://community.fabric.microsoft.com/t5/Desktop/How-to-Get-Your-Question-Answered-Quickly/m-p/1447...

Hi, here are the sample data and the goal of the dashboard - to get forecast accuracy (and eventually bias)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vRSa3nOxPqP4mqzqXSWa_k8yxehvSPGfp88DDnZLr1cq-Et_yFSr...

Helpful resources

Announcements
Join our Fabric User Panel

Join our Fabric User Panel

Share feedback directly with Fabric product managers, participate in targeted research studies and influence the Fabric roadmap.

February Power BI Update Carousel

Power BI Monthly Update - February 2026

Check out the February 2026 Power BI update to learn about new features.

FabCon Atlanta 2026 carousel

FabCon Atlanta 2026

Join us at FabCon Atlanta, March 16-20, for the ultimate Fabric, Power BI, AI and SQL community-led event. Save $200 with code FABCOMM.