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Hammarberg's avatar
Hammarberg
Frequent Visitor
9 years ago

How to calculate Forecast accuracy

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hi,

 

I've been trying to get my head around how to calculate a forecast accuracy. Here is how I usually set up a simply formula in excel:

 

First I calculate the absolute variance between sales and forecast. I do this for each individual "Material" (product).

 

absolute variance = ABS(Actual sales - forecast)

 

Then I summerize the total ABS variance and the total forecast to get the Forecast Accuracy:

 

Forecast Accuracy = 1 - ( Total ABS variance / Total Forecast )

 

(at the top you can find a small sample)

 

 

If anyone has an idea it would be greatly appreciated. This is getting on my nerves :)